Atlanta Fed President Bostic warns against ‘complacency’ in policymaking
Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic called Thursday for caution on policymaking as inflation holds higher and the labor market shows signs of cracking.
In an essay on the central bank district’s site, the central bank official noted that “monetary policy is in a good place and the economy is strong. Still, for various reasons, this is no time for complacency.”
Bostic cited uncertainty over trade and immigration policy as a variable that will make policy calibration difficult. Business leaders in the region expect tariffs to spark inflation, though they have not reported making changes to their practices to accommodate any anticipated changes.
“In recent weeks, we’ve heard not only enthusiasm — particularly from banks, about possible shifts in tax and regulatory policies — but also widespread apprehension about future trade and immigration policy, Bostic wrote. “These crosscurrents inject still more complexity into policymaking.”
Bostic is not a voting member this year of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee and will next vote in 2027.
—Jeff Cox
Three S&P 500 sectors drop 1% as market struggles
Citi upgrades NXP Semiconductors to buy, citing analog recovery
Citi sees a rosy outlook ahead for NXP Semiconductors.
Analyst Christopher Danely upgraded shares of the semiconductor manufacturer to a buy rating from neutral. Simultaneously, he raised his target price to $290 from $210, implying that the stock could rise 18% from here.
Shares of NXP Semiconductors have popped 6% in the last 12 months.
NXPI 1Y chart
Danely cited a recovery in analog semiconductors — those that use traditional versus binary circuit elements — as a major catalyst for the stock. Danely noted that the stock has already risen in the past two weeks on the back of bullish sentiment towards an analog recovery, adding that he believes this is just the beginning of such a recovery.
“We believe the analog recovery is imminent and that every analog company will feel it as sales from the analog companies have fallen roughly 30% from the peak,” he wrote. “Given Consensus estimates have fallen roughly 30% in the past six months, most of the downside has been incorporated in NXP estimates, and as such, we expect multiples to rise across the board in anticipation of estimates moving up.”
— Lisa Kailai Han
Leading indicators fell 0.3% in January, worse than expected
Leading economic indicators unexpectedly contracted in January as confidence dimmed in future business conditions, the Conference Board reported Thursday.
The board’s Leading Economic Index declined 0.3% for the month, reversing a 0.1% gain in December and falling short of the Dow Jones estimate for a 0.2% drop. Driving the decline was a 0.1% decline in consumer expectations for business conditions and a 0.2% decrease in average weekly hours.
Nevertheless, Conference Board economists say they expect the economy will grow at a 2.3% pace in 2025.
—Jeff Cox
Philadelphia manufacturing index tops estimate
Manufacturing in the Philadelphia area expanded at a stronger than expected pace in February, according to a Federal Reserve report Thursday.
The Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing index slipped to 18.1 for the month, down considerably from its level of 44.3 from January but ahead of the Dow Jones estimate for 13.2. The index measures the difference between companies reporting expansion against contraction, so any positive number indicates growth.
Internally, the survey showed increases in prices paid and received and monthly declines in new orders, shipments and employment, though all of those indicators remained positive overall.
—Jeff Cox
Berkshire sells more DaVita shares
Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway dumped 750,000 more shares of dialysis company DaVita for $116.1 million over the past three days, according to a new regulatory filing. This was not part of a pre-planned share repurchase agreement that prompted some selling last week.
After this week’s sale, Berkshire’s stake in DaVita drops to 43.9%. The conglomerate first invested in DaVita in 2011. It is widely believed that Buffett’s investing manager Ted Weschler was behind the investment as he had a substantial stake in the health care name for his hedge fund before joining Berkshire.
— Yun Li
Stocks open lower
Stocks were lower on Thursday, with the S&P 500 pulling back from its most recent record.
The broad market index slipped 0.2%, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 168 points, or 0.3%.
— Brian Evans
See the stocks moving before the bell
These are some of the stocks moving in Thursday’s premarket:
- Shake Shack — The fast food chain jumped 10.8% posting stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings.
- Alibaba — Shares rallied more than 11% after the Chinese e-commerce giant reported quarterly results that beat analyst expectations.
- Builders FirstSource — The building materials company pulled back 4.5% after revenue came in under Wall Street’s consensus forecast.
See the full list here.
— Alex Harring
Palantir stock falls again despite support from Wall Street analysts
Shares of defense tech company Palantir dropped 4.5% in premarket trading, extending a 10% loss from Wednesday.
The stock has been under pressure this week after a report that the Trump administration is pushing for cuts at the Pentagon. CEO Alex Karp also adopted a new stock sale plan.
However, some bullish Wall Street analysts have argued that Palantir would actually benefit from cost-cuts at the Pentagon, as the company’s software and artificial intelligence offerings could be a way to make the Defense Department more efficient.
“The bears which have hated Palantir from $12 to $120 in the last 18 months now have found their latest “silver bullet” negative thesis around PLTR being exposed to these budget cuts and we saw a sharp sell-off in trading accordingly once this news about DOD hit in the afternoon,” Wedbush analyst Dan Ives wrote in a note to clients. “This is exactly the opposite how we believe these DOD cuts will play out as in our view Palantir’s unique software approach will enable the company to gain MORE IT budget dollars at the Pentagon….not less despite these initial knee jerk reactions from the Street.”
Palantir also got a buy rating from Loop Capital.
— Jesse Pound
Jobless claims come in slightly higher than expected
Initial filings for unemployment benefits edged higher last week but were still consistent with a labor market in which employers are keeping their workforce levels consistent.
Jobless claims totaled a seasonally adjusted 219,000 for the period ending Feb. 15, up 5,000 from the previous week and a bit higher than the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 215,000, the Labor Department reported Thursday.
Continuing claims, which run a week behind, also nudged higher, totaling 1.87 million for an increase of 24,000.
Claims in Washington, D.C., remained elevated as President Donald Trump trims the federal labor rolls, totaling 1,695, according to unadjusted data that represented a slight weekly increase.
—Jeff Cox
Shake Shack shares rally despite weak first quarter guidance
Shake Shack posted fourth quarter results that were pretty much in line with its preliminary numbers that were announced in mid-January. The stock is surging 11% despite first quarter guidance that looks dour on the surface.
The fast food chain projects revenues in the current quarter of $326.5 million to $330.9 million, which is below the consensus estimate of $331.8 million. But that shortfall likely comes as a result of the tragic Los Angeles wildfires, which had a fairly significant impact to January sales. Outside of that, CEO Rob Lynch said same-store sales trends “held in January.” That’s giving optimism to investors and likely fueling this morning’s rally.
Additionally, despite the conservative first quarter outlook, Shake Shack gave a solid full year revenue outlook of $1.45 billion to $1.48 billion vs. the $1.46 billion expected by Wall Street – signaling continued momentum in the coming months.
— Robert Hum
Walmart falls on lackluster guidance
Walmart dropped more than 7% after the company said it expects fiscal year sales to grow between 3% and 4%. The company’s fiscal 2026 earnings outlook, meanwhile, was below analyst expectations. The weak guidance overshadowed fiscal fourth-quarter earnings that beat analyst expectations.
On top of that, CFO John David Rainey warned that Walmart wouldn’t be completely immune from U.S. tariffs on Mexican and Canadian imports.
“We’ve lived in a tariff environment for the last seven or eight years, and we’ll do what we know how to do,” he said. “We’ll work with suppliers. We’ll lean into our private brand. We’ll shift supply where necessary to try to take advantage of lower costs that we can then pass on to consumers.”
WMT falls
— Fred Imbert, Melissa Repko
Alibaba shares rise after earnings beat
Alibaba traded more than 5% higher after the Chinese e-commerce giant reported quarterly results that beat analyst expectations.
Net income for the company came in at 48.945 billion yuan in the quarter ended Dec. 31 on revenue of 280.154 billion yuan. Analysts polled by LSEG expected net income of 40.6 billion yuan on revenue of 279.34 billion yuan.
“This quarter’s results demonstrated substantial progress in our ‘user first, AI-driven’ strategies and the re-accelerated growth of our core businesses,” said Alibaba CEO Eddie Wu in a statement.
— Fred Imbert
Asia markets down as Trump tariff threats, potentially higher-for-longer U.S. rates dent sentiment
Asia-Pacific markets fell Thursday, as investors weighed U.S. President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on autos, chips and pharmaceutical imports as well as the Federal Reserve potentially keeping rates higher for longer.
Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 and broader Topix index ended the day in negative territory for the second day. The Nikkei 225 closed 1.24% lower at 38,678.04, while the broader Topix index fell 1.18% to 2,734.60.
The yen rose to a more than two-month high of 150.52 per U.S. dollar earlier in the day amid bets of more rate hikes by the Bank of Japan this year.
In South Korea, the Kospi closed down 0.65% at 2,654.06, while the small-cap Kosdaq lost 1.28% to end the day at 768.27.
Mainland China’s CSI 300 dipped 0.29% to close at 3.928.90, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 1.60% to 22,576.98.
Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 declined for the fourth straight day. The index closed 1.15% lower at 8,322.80.
The country’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate rose to 4.1% in January, in line with Reuters’ estimates.
Indian stocks were also in negative territory, with the Nifty 50 down 0.15%, while the BSE Sensex index fell 0.31% as at 2.15 p.m. local time.
— Amala Balakrishner
Europe stocks open mixed
European stocks were mixed early Thursday as positive momentum that has carried the Stoxx 600 index to a run of record highs this month wanes.
The index was choppy in early deals, though 0.12% higher by 8:34 a.m. in London.
The U.K.’s FTSE 100 was down 0.29% as France’s CAC 40 rose by 0.44%.
Stoxx 600 index.
Trump says he’s considering giving 20% of DOGE savings to Americans
U.S. President Donald Trump said during his remarks at the FII Priority Summit in Miami Beach, Fla., on Wednesday that he’s thinking of sending 20% of the money saved by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) to Americans.
“There’s even under consideration a new concept where we give 20% of the DOGE savings to American citizens and 20% goes to paying down debt,” Trump said during his speech at the event.
The president’s comments come just a day after Elon Musk said in a post on X that he “Will check with the President” on a proposal to send U.S. households tax refund checks from the money saved by DOGE.
— Sean Conlon
Klaviyo, IMAX among the names making moves after hours
Some stocks are making big moves in extended trading:
- Klaviyo — The software company surged almost 6% after fourth-quarter results topped Wall Street expectations. Klaviyo posted adjusted earnings of 7 cents per share on $270 million in revenue, above the 6 cents per share and $257 million in revenue that analysts surveyed by LSEG were estimating.
- IMAX — The large screen, high-resolution and surround sound movie company slid nearly 5% following weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings and revenue. IMAX earned 27 cents per share on $93 million in revenue in the latest quarter, below the consensus estimate of 28 cents per share and $103 million in revenue, according to LSEG.
- BioMarin Pharmaceutical — Shares gained more than 7% on the heels of stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings, when BioMarin earned 64 cents per share on $747 million in revenue, while analysts polled by FactSet had penciled in 53 cents per share on $712 million in revenue.
Read here for the full list.
— Sean Conlon